 PROGRAM MLMNP

 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF
 LINEAR-IN-PARAMETERS MULTINOMIAL PROBIT MODELS
 (BOUNDS NOT ENFORCED; STATISTICS ARE COMPUTED)


  NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS.................  50
  NUMBER OF ALTERNATIVES PER CHOICE SET..   3
  EQUAL WEIGHTS FOR ALL OBSERVATIONS
  NO INTEGER EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
  NUMBER OF REAL DATA VALUES PER OBS.....   3
  OUTPUT UNIT............................   6

  COVARIANCE TYPE = INVERSE GAUSS-NEWTON HESSIAN
  NO REGRESSION DIAGNOSTICS REQUESTED
 
  *** NOTE:  NALT SET EQUAL TO ICSET ***
  NUMBER OF NOMINAL VARIABLES............   3
  NUMBER OF ATTRIBUTES PER ALTERNATIVE...   1
  NOMINAL DUMMIES USED
  CORRELATED ERROR TERMS
  NO RANDOM TASTE VARIATION

  NUMBER OF MODEL PARAMETERS.............   5

 INITIAL PARAMETER VECTOR AND BOUNDS: 
  1 TTIME       0.000000E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
  2 DBUS        0.000000E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
  3 DSTREETC    0.000000E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
  4 B21         0.100000E+01 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
  5 B22         0.100000E+01 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03

 NONDEFAULT VALUES....

 DTYPE..... IV(16) =  0
 DINIT..... V(38) =  0.1000000E+01

     I     INITIAL X(I)        D(I)

     1     0.000000E+00     0.100E+01
     2     0.000000E+00     0.100E+01
     3     0.000000E+00     0.100E+01
     4     0.100000E+01     0.100E+01
     5     0.100000E+01     0.100E+01

    IT   NF      F       RELDF   PRELDF   RELDX  MODEL  STPPAR  D*STEP  NPRELDF

     0    1 0.546E+02
     1    2 0.390E+02 0.29E+00 0.24E+00 0.4E+00    G   0.2E+00 0.9E+00 0.46E+00
     2    3 0.341E+02 0.13E+00 0.13E+00 0.5E+00    G   0.2E+01 0.1E+01 0.26E+00
     3    4 0.331E+02 0.30E-01 0.41E-01 0.3E+00    G   0.0E+00 0.5E+00 0.41E-01
     4    5 0.324E+02 0.20E-01 0.18E-01 0.2E+00    S   0.0E+00 0.2E+00 0.18E-01
     5    6 0.323E+02 0.43E-02 0.41E-02 0.7E-01    S   0.0E+00 0.1E+00 0.41E-02
     6    7 0.323E+02 0.20E-03 0.22E-03 0.1E-01    S   0.0E+00 0.2E-01 0.22E-03
     7    8 0.323E+02 0.17E-04 0.16E-04 0.5E-02    S   0.0E+00 0.8E-02 0.16E-04
     8    9 0.323E+02 0.33E-06 0.32E-06 0.5E-03    S   0.0E+00 0.1E-02 0.32E-06
     9   10 0.323E+02 0.32E-08 0.32E-08 0.3E-04    S   0.0E+00 0.5E-04 0.32E-08
    10   11 0.323E+02 0.11E-10 0.13E-10 0.4E-05    S   0.0E+00 0.6E-05 0.13E-10

 ***** RELATIVE FUNCTION CONVERGENCE *****

 FUNCTION     0.322697E+02   RELDX        0.354E-05
 FUNC. EVALS      11         GRAD. EVALS      11
 PRELDF       0.128E-10      NPRELDF      0.128E-10

     I      FINAL X(I)        D(I)          G(I)

     1   -0.113148E+00     0.100E+01     0.641E-04
     2    0.127593E-01     0.100E+01     0.535E-05
     3    0.198357E+00     0.100E+01    -0.273E-05
     4    0.592164E+00     0.100E+01     0.637E-05
     5    0.312719E+00     0.100E+01     0.178E-04

    1 EXTRA FUNC. EVALS FOR COVARIANCE AND DIAGNOSTICS.
    1 EXTRA GRAD. EVALS FOR COVARIANCE AND DIAGNOSTICS.

 SQRT(RECIPROCAL CONDITION OF (J**T)*RHO"*J) = AT MOST  0.48E-01

 COVARIANCE = (J**T * RHO" * J)**-1

 ROW  1     0.209E-02
 ROW  2     0.514E-02   0.147    
 ROW  3     0.645E-02   0.113       0.999E-01
 ROW  4    -0.241E-02   0.549E-01   0.385E-01   0.463E-01
 ROW  5    -0.131E-01  -0.101E-01  -0.274E-01   0.286E-01   0.121    

 REGRESSION DIAGNOSTIC VECTOR NOT COMPUTED

 ASYMPTOTIC T-STATISTICS: 
  I                X(I)           T-STAT(I)       STD ERROR
  1  TTIME     -0.113148E+00   -0.247729E+01    0.456742E-01
  2  DBUS       0.127593E-01    0.332414E-01    0.383838E+00
  3  DSTREETC   0.198357E+00    0.627560E+00    0.316076E+00
  4  B21        0.592164E+00    0.275152E+01    0.215214E+00
  5  B22        0.312719E+00    0.898071E+00    0.348211E+00

 NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS (NOBS) =   50

 LOG-LIKELIHOOD L(EST)  = -0.322697E+02
 LOG-LIKELIHOOD L(0)    = -0.549306E+02
 -2[L(0) - L(EST)]:     =  0.453219E+02

 1 - L(EST)/L(0):       =  0.412538E+00
 1 - (L(EST)-NPAR)/L(0) =  0.321514E+00

 (FIXED CHOICE SET SIZE)

 AGGREGATE CHOICES AND MARKET SHARES: 
   1      14.000  0.2800
   2      29.000  0.5800
   3       7.000  0.1400

 STATISTICS FOR CONSTANTS-ONLY MODEL:
    LOG-LIKELIHOOD L(C)    = -0.473814E+02
    -2[L(C) - L(EST)]:     =  0.302235E+02



 OUTPUT FOR CONVENIENT RESTART:
 TTIME   
  -0.113148E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
 DBUS    
   0.127593E-01 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
 DSTREETC
   0.198357E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
 B21     
   0.592164E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
 B22     
   0.312719E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
