 PROGRAM MLMNP

 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF
 LINEAR-IN-PARAMETERS MULTINOMIAL PROBIT MODELS
 (BOUNDS NOT ENFORCED; STATISTICS ARE COMPUTED)


  NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS.................  50
  NUMBER OF ALTERNATIVES PER CHOICE SET..   3
  EQUAL WEIGHTS FOR ALL OBSERVATIONS
  NO INTEGER EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
  NUMBER OF REAL DATA VALUES PER OBS.....   3
  OUTPUT UNIT............................   6

  COVARIANCE TYPE = INVERSE GAUSS-NEWTON HESSIAN
  NO REGRESSION DIAGNOSTICS REQUESTED
 
  *** NOTE:  NALT SET EQUAL TO ICSET ***
  NUMBER OF NOMINAL VARIABLES............   3
  NUMBER OF ATTRIBUTES PER ALTERNATIVE...   1
  NOMINAL DUMMIES USED
  CORRELATED ERROR TERMS
  UNCORRELATED RANDOM TASTE VARIATION

  NUMBER OF MODEL PARAMETERS.............   6

 INITIAL PARAMETER VECTOR AND BOUNDS: 
  1 TTIME       0.000000E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
  2 DBUS        0.000000E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
  3 DSTREETC    0.000000E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
  4 B21         0.100000E+01 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
  5 B22         0.100000E+01 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
  6 SigT        0.100000E+01  0.100000E-03  0.100000E+03

 NONDEFAULT VALUES....

 DTYPE..... IV(16) =  0
 DINIT..... V(38) =  0.1000000E+01

     I     INITIAL X(I)        D(I)

     1     0.000000E+00     0.100E+01
     2     0.000000E+00     0.100E+01
     3     0.000000E+00     0.100E+01
     4     0.100000E+01     0.100E+01
     5     0.100000E+01     0.100E+01
     6     0.100000E+01     0.100E+01

    IT   NF      F       RELDF   PRELDF   RELDX  MODEL  STPPAR  D*STEP  NPRELDF

     0    1 0.535E+02
     1    2 0.346E+02 0.35E+00 0.30E+00 0.4E+00    G   0.6E+01 0.1E+01 0.33E+00
     2    4 0.327E+02 0.55E-01 0.51E-01 0.9E-01    G   0.8E+01 0.4E+00 0.66E-01
     3    5 0.324E+02 0.67E-02 0.19E-01 0.2E+00    G   0.2E+00 0.8E+00 0.25E-01
     4    7 0.322E+02 0.91E-02 0.11E-01 0.8E-01   G-S  0.0E+00 0.3E+00 0.11E-01
     5    9 0.321E+02 0.92E-03 0.14E-02 0.6E-01    S   0.8E+00 0.2E+00 0.48E-02
     6   10 0.321E+02 0.84E-03 0.57E-03 0.6E-01    S   0.6E-01 0.2E+00 0.58E-03
     7   11 0.321E+02 0.39E-03 0.17E-02 0.2E+00    G   0.5E-01 0.6E+00 0.17E-02
     8   12 0.320E+02 0.12E-02 0.29E-02 0.2E+00    S   0.0E+00 0.4E+00 0.29E-02
     9   13 0.320E+02 0.15E-02 0.13E-02 0.6E-01    S   0.0E+00 0.1E+00 0.13E-02
    10   14 0.320E+02 0.17E-03 0.12E-03 0.4E-01    S   0.0E+00 0.6E-01 0.12E-03
    11   15 0.320E+02 0.46E-04 0.40E-04 0.3E-01    S   0.0E+00 0.5E-01 0.40E-04
    12   16 0.320E+02 0.25E-05 0.24E-05 0.2E-02    S   0.0E+00 0.3E-02 0.24E-05
    13   17 0.320E+02 0.14E-06 0.14E-06 0.4E-03    S   0.0E+00 0.6E-03 0.14E-06
    14   18 0.320E+02 0.31E-08 0.36E-08 0.2E-03    S   0.0E+00 0.3E-03 0.36E-08
    15   20 0.320E+02 0.16E-09 0.17E-09 0.4E-04   G-S  0.0E+00 0.7E-04 0.17E-09
    16   21 0.320E+02 0.23E-11 0.23E-11 0.4E-05    S   0.0E+00 0.8E-05 0.23E-11

 ***** RELATIVE FUNCTION CONVERGENCE *****

 FUNCTION     0.319875E+02   RELDX        0.422E-05
 FUNC. EVALS      21         GRAD. EVALS      17
 PRELDF       0.228E-11      NPRELDF      0.228E-11

     I      FINAL X(I)        D(I)          G(I)

     1   -0.235784E+00     0.100E+01    -0.152E-04
     2   -0.228115E+00     0.100E+01     0.896E-06
     3   -0.646731E-03     0.100E+01    -0.256E-05
     4    0.365699E+00     0.100E+01     0.611E-06
     5    0.614115E+00     0.100E+01    -0.142E-05
     6    0.122138E+00     0.100E+01    -0.171E-04

    1 EXTRA FUNC. EVALS FOR COVARIANCE AND DIAGNOSTICS.
    1 EXTRA GRAD. EVALS FOR COVARIANCE AND DIAGNOSTICS.

 SQRT(RECIPROCAL CONDITION OF (J**T)*RHO"*J) = AT MOST  0.26E-01

 COVARIANCE = (J**T * RHO" * J)**-1

 ROW  1     0.355E-01
 ROW  2     0.534E-01   0.381    
 ROW  3     0.512E-01   0.293       0.266    
 ROW  4     0.851E-01   0.409       0.344       0.596    
 ROW  5    -0.937E-01  -0.693E-01  -0.937E-01  -0.164       0.379    
 ROW  6    -0.244E-01  -0.337E-01  -0.315E-01  -0.576E-01   0.631E-01
            0.181E-01

 REGRESSION DIAGNOSTIC VECTOR NOT COMPUTED

 ASYMPTOTIC T-STATISTICS: 
  I                X(I)           T-STAT(I)       STD ERROR
  1  TTIME     -0.235784E+00   -0.125086E+01    0.188498E+00
  2  DBUS      -0.228115E+00   -0.369418E+00    0.617500E+00
  3  DSTREETC  -0.646731E-03   -0.125302E-02    0.516139E+00
  4  B21        0.365699E+00    0.473541E+00    0.772264E+00
  5  B22        0.614115E+00    0.997767E+00    0.615489E+00
  6  SigT       0.122138E+00    0.907365E+00    0.134607E+00

 NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS (NOBS) =   50

 LOG-LIKELIHOOD L(EST)  = -0.319875E+02
 LOG-LIKELIHOOD L(0)    = -0.549306E+02
 -2[L(0) - L(EST)]:     =  0.458863E+02

 1 - L(EST)/L(0):       =  0.417675E+00
 1 - (L(EST)-NPAR)/L(0) =  0.308446E+00

 (FIXED CHOICE SET SIZE)

 AGGREGATE CHOICES AND MARKET SHARES: 
   1      14.000  0.2800
   2      29.000  0.5800
   3       7.000  0.1400

 STATISTICS FOR CONSTANTS-ONLY MODEL:
    LOG-LIKELIHOOD L(C)    = -0.473814E+02
    -2[L(C) - L(EST)]:     =  0.307878E+02



 OUTPUT FOR CONVENIENT RESTART:
 TTIME   
  -0.235784E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
 DBUS    
  -0.228115E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
 DSTREETC
  -0.646731E-03 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
 B21     
   0.365699E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
 B22     
   0.614115E+00 -0.100000E+03  0.100000E+03
 SigT    
   0.122138E+00  0.100000E-03  0.100000E+03
